AI-Exposed Sectors See Sharp Drop in Youth Jobs: BOK

In contrast, the number of jobs held by people in their 50s rose by 230,000 over the same period, with 173,000 of the increase coming from AI-exposed sectors.

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The report set 2022 as the starting point for the study, as ChatGPT was launched late that year.

By sector, youth employment fell 31.4 percent over the cited period in IT services, while it declined 27.4 percent in publishing, which includes software and web design professionals. Youth employment decreased 16.6 percent in computer programming and 11.6 percent in professional services.

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Unemployment rates by educational background also showed young people’s vulnerability to AI technology, the BOK report showed.

From 2019 to 2022, the average unemployment rate among young people with undergraduate or graduate degrees was 8.2 percent, compared with 8 percent for those who graduated from secondary school or junior college. After 2022, the rates fell to 7 percent and 5.4 percent, respectively, widening the gap to 1.6 percentage points.

The BOK said the country’s continued population decline may have contributed significantly to changes in youth employment over the period, while the advent of AI may have accelerated the trend.

“AIcanincreasetheproductivityofyoungpeopletoalargeextent.ThisalsomeanstheycanbereplacedbyAI,”saidOhSam-il,aresearcherattheBOK’sresearchdepartment.“However,wecannotsaythatAIisentirelybehindthereductioninyouthemployment.Instead,AIisacceleratingthetrendofthediminishingcareerladderforyoungpeople.”